Israeli regime drones dropped evacuation leaflets over Al-Mansouri, in the Tyre district of southern Lebanon, earlier today. The leaflets carry a satellite map of the town with a wide swathe shaded off and the warning printed in Arabic across the top: a threatened zone, stay away, any approach to the regime's forces puts you in danger, do not approach. At the foot of the page, a line directing residents to tune to 106FM for further instructions, the now-familiar grammar of a military broadcasting its intentions to the people it is about to displace.

This does not come out of nowhere, it comes a day after the regime tried to push forward into this same stretch and met resistance, as we reported, a clash that escalated into a ground battle and ended with two airstrikes dropped on the area.

Al-Mansouri was already a flashpoint before that: a week ago a regime force pushed up from Bayyada and dug in beside the Italian UNIFIL position at the Hamra point, just south of the town, then opened machine-gun fire toward the homes along the coast at Bayout al-Sayyad, according to Lebanon's National News Agency.

This is all happening under a ceasefire the regime signed and has never once stopped violating, with its forces sitting on Lebanese soil that its own defence minister says they will hold indefinitely.

The day before these leaflets fell, UNIFIL reported that the truce that took effect on 19 June is holding overall, with no new missile launches or airstrikes since the two projectiles it logged earlier that week. What it has kept recording, in the same breath, is the other half of the picture: Israeli drones violating Lebanese airspace, armoured movements, military engineering works, and on Wednesday three Israeli tanks opening heavy machine-gun fire and loosing six grenades near the coast road at Bayyada, the same stretch above which today's drones flew.

The ceasefire is holding, with the major exception of Israeli forces violating Lebanese sovereignty, and now dropping leaflets on a town it has spent the week shelling, with airstrikes likely imminent.