Democrats won Senate seats in Texas, South Carolina, Kansas, Iowa and Ohio on Tuesday, five states Donald Trump carried by between 11 and 18 points two years ago, and took the governorships of Texas, Iowa and Ohio. In Texas, which Trump won by 14 points, James Talarico beat Ken Paxton by 12 and Gina Hinojosa beat Greg Abbott by 7.
Of the 105.6 million votes cast for the Senate or the House in the 3,129 counties we compared, 98.7% were cast in counties that moved towards Democrats from Trump’s 2024 result, our analysis of AP’s county vote counts shows. Those counties went from Trump by 3.7 points in 2024 to Democrats by 11.5. By county, 2,966 moved towards Democrats and 162 towards Republicans, about 18 for every one.
Every Senate race in a state Trump won by 10 points or more moved towards Democrats, from 8 points in South Dakota to 26 in Texas, our comparison of official counts with Trump's certified 2024 margins shows. Two more races in those states are too close to call. Scott Colom leads Cindy Hyde-Smith by 0.2 points in Mississippi's Senate race, in a state Trump won by 23, and Cindy Holscher leads by 0.6 points in the race for governor of Kansas.
